The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 79 on the 27th to a low of 30 on the 15th & 17th. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. Weather Forecast Office. Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? There are other puzzle pieces besides La Nia to consider in the forecast, which leads us to the next question. #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. . The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. NWS Tucson Arizona. The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. And for only the 9th time since 1895, rainfall was recorded on both New Year's Eve & Day with the most recent being in 2018-19 & 2016-17. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. National Weather Service April climate data across southeast Arizona. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly aren't in the clear either. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. Multiple locations were found. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. All NOAA. Thank you! Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. A record warm low temperature was set on the 22nd with a low of 66 breaking the record of 64 from 2016. The periodical says it. Please try another search. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. (Weather station: Payson, USA). After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 The Spring seasonal forecast for the area, issued February 17th, called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures & a 42% chance of below normal precipitation. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. Therefore, we will likely see periods that are warmer or colder in each respective region of the country when compared to what is shown above. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of . Click on the images below for the year, monthly and seasonal snapshots! Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. By contrast, much of the southern third of the nation from the Southwest into the Southern Plains, Southeast and Florida is expected to have a warmer-than-average January. There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. Toggle navigation. Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. Blistering, Record-Breaking Heat Lytton, B.C. What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? The high temperature of 82 on the 20th marked the first August since 2007 that recorded back-to-back days with highs in the 80's. But there is a new ocean anomaly emerging that will also play its part. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. It begins just at the backend. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. Here was the tweet the office issued. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. Toggle navigation. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. This is the 3rd straight January in which the monthly low temperature, recorded at the airport, was NOT colder than 30. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 111 on June 16th to a low of 66 on June 5th. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire.

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