2019 thelondoneconomic.com - TLE, International House, 24 Holborn Viaduct, London EC1A 2BN. The poll for the Sun found. Please click 'Sign in and Subscribe' to continue. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Britain Elects. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. However as the Scottish parliament became fully operational in Edinburgh, support for independence initially waned, trending around 30% in the first decade of the twentieth century. We don't have an account for this email address. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. CalMac warns of further disruption to ferry service due to lack of backup ferries, The ferry operator is facing frequent issues as it has to constantly repair the aging fleet which is blighted with problems due to the lack of back ups, Scottish lags misuse 4.1million taxpayer-funded mobile phones more than 7,000 times in three years, More than 4,082 inmates have been caught out for using mobile phones paid for by the taxpayers to commit crimes while in prison, Iconic Glasgow bakery Mortons Rolls 'ceases all trading' after 58 years. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. @britainelects. Easy-to-digest video clips. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Something went wrong, please try again later. However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. excludes 16 and 17 year-olds and did not ascertain likelihood to vote. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. By clicking 'Create Account and Subscribe' you agree to us creating an account for you and subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. It's Andrew's Previews for. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. ", Question asked was "In principle, do you think there should or Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. You can unsubscribe whenever you want. Automotive. Please check you have typed it correctly. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. A total of 21 per cent said they didnt know., UnHerd Britain 2023, published on 10 Feb 2023Full results, YouGov poll, reported in The Times on 05 Feb 2023. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. /Which party are you most inclined to support? Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. Labour remain on top with 37 per cent in the poll published this morning, an increase of one percentage point. Most Recent Independence Poll, YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 No Yes Don't Know Headline Excluding Don't Knows 49% (+1) 54% (+1 / -1) 42% (nc) 46% (-1 / +1) 9% (-2) By-Elections By-elections By-Election Result: Dyce, Bucksburn and Danestone February 27, 2023 Comments Off Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). British Social Attitudes Survey 39, reported in The Times, 22 Sep 2022Full results I Chapter on Culture WarsMain findings: YouGov, May 2022Full report I DataMain findings: Equalities, Human Rights and Civil Justice Committee, Scottish Parliament, reported 23 May 2022, Wings Over Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 02 May 2022: Voting for people who hate you. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. ((__lxGc__=window.__lxGc__||{'s':{},'b':0})['s']['_222513']=__lxGc__['s']['_222513']||{'b':{}})['b']['_680898']={'i':__lxGc__.b++}; Never miss the day's key interactions and exchanges in parliament. Analysis pieces written by YouGov's data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. , in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. A band of rain, sleet and snow is expected to move south during Monday followed by frequent snow and hail showers, Ken Bruce leaves BBC with veiled jibe after they ended his show early over concerns was free advertising for a rival, The 72-year-old Glaswegian left Radio to join Greatest Hits Radio in April after the Beeb told him to step down 17 days early, Teaching strikes held off as union on brink of striking pay deal. The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. on public opinion. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Back to 1970s., BlackRock Throgmorton Trust Impressive run continues, Police arrest fugitive suspected of stabbing mother and daughter to death, EU workers contribute 2,300 more in taxes than the average Brit, EuroMillions Results for Friday 24 June 2022 Tonights winning numbers, Domestic abuse calls up 25% in coronavirus lockdown charity, International press document Britains Brexit bregret, World War II paratrooper says Brexit is breaking his heart on his 100th birthday. Easy-to-digest video clips. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. All Rights Reserved. Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. ", Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years, Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . Although these recommendations are yet to be finalized, the next General Election will almost certainly be fought on a redrawn constituency map. According to YouGov's latest poll of Welsh voters, the Tories are set to be left with just two MPs in the country after the next general election. Should a general election be held today, this would likely lead to the following composition of the House of Commons: The result of a general election is projected as a Labour victory with the party securing an outright majority of 46 seats. The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. The Japanese midfielder was handed the February Player of the Month award. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. About; Social . Scots cop claims World's End serial killer committed 'three more murders in Glasgow ', Retired detective Allan Jones claims Sinclair should have been tried for the murders Anna Kenny, Hilda McAuley and Agnes Cooney, Eddie Howe makes damning Ryan Fraser Newcastle admission as Scotland star's 'commitment' questioned. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. The previous YouGov covered the 23rd - 26th of January. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged.
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